Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.450760 0.527175 0.612967 0.716504 0.838194 0.976833 1.146989
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.340715 0.443010 0.570913 0.742992 0.969131 1.257128 1.653286
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.275405 0.384952 0.532398 0.746195 1.049756 1.467555 2.090129
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.235260 0.348678 0.510741 0.760534 1.138402 1.692741 2.575258
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.198365 0.309029 0.475431 0.745684 1.177371 1.846485 2.974528
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.171576 0.279414 0.449102 0.737879 1.222221 2.011022 3.411417
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.152509 0.258612 0.432637 0.741756 1.283984 2.208228 3.929428
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.142903 0.251715 0.437293 0.780542 1.408745 2.526878 4.706180
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134057 0.244647 0.440252 0.816001 1.531598 2.858132 5.557044
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.124603 0.235033 0.437110 0.839290 1.634364 3.165672 6.409995
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.114410 0.222575 0.426910 0.847328 1.708156 3.426925 7.210491
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.103911 0.208093 0.410877 0.841371 1.752510 3.634754 7.931260
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.092843 0.191324 0.388759 0.821094 1.766703 3.787431 8.569914
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.088025 0.186758 0.390748 0.851812 1.894761 4.202256 9.870369
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081269 0.177177 0.380983 0.855498 1.963288 4.495564 10.937704
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076321 0.170844 0.377279 0.872012 2.063150 4.874299 12.275998
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.069341 0.159067 0.360070 0.854910 2.081008 5.062203 13.168160
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063708 0.149669 0.347060 0.845922 2.117155 5.299589 14.230079
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.059533 0.143177 0.339979 0.850387 2.187590 5.633204 15.609515
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058145 0.143228 0.348467 0.895056 2.368374 6.279097 17.973166
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.056551 0.142565 0.355111 0.935902 2.545272 6.942276 20.510453
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.054277 0.139895 0.356393 0.962733 2.688036 7.534414 22.949081
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.051300 0.135033 0.351459 0.971995 2.782950 8.006700 25.110855